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STOP THE SQUEEZE WEEKLY DEBT
CRISIS NEWSLETTER
Compiled by In Debt We Trust Director Danny Schechter, author
of SQEEEZED: America As The Bubble Bursts and director of
In Debt We
Trust
Comments to
Dissector@mediachannel.org
Denial is as American as cherry pie. We are a breast-beating nation,
and love to chant “We’re number #1!” as so many did after the first
gulf war. Those of us who never lived though a depression can’t
imagine a similar major reversal in our economic fortunes as the
economy seems only capable of going up along with our waistlines and
credit card bills. While we have our own fears of doom and gloom, we
continue to shop on while our media urges us to Mall-out, not watch
out.
Economists are debating about whether there is a recession coming or
already here. It all depends, doesn’t it, on your own economic
status? We know that incomes have never been more unequal and
different communities experience downturns differently. Some
neighborhoods are already in a depression, while others live high on
the hog. Also, many are just feeling the impact. We do know that
families are losing homes, tenants are facing eviction, students
can’t pay loans. Credit card interest is going up. The lawyers are
now getting involved big time as bankers sue mortgage companies and
investment vehicles collapse. The Fed can’t solve the problem and
neither is the government.
And yet despite everything we have been reporting week after week,
and all the bad news in every newspaper in the world, President Bush
spoke to a Rotary club at a Yad a Doo restaurant in Virginia and
said the economy is sound. But ``there's definitely some storm
clouds and concern'' because of the nation's credit crunch and
mortgage problems, “but the underpinning is good…''
I wouldn’t bank on it.
EQUITY LOANS IN TROUBLE?
In Debt We Trust editorial advisor Robert Manning urges us to “ keep
in mind that with the blow-up over home equity loans that are
increasingly becoming valueless unsecured loans, the next stage of
the mortgage crisis he believes, is going to be mortgage debt
"forgiveness." The big difference today versus 20 years ago is that
it is going to be more costly and complicated for banks due to
securitization: That’s a reference to the way banks and others
turned mortgages into securities. He has just published a new study
on the consumer led recession which says on the basis of extensive
surveys that financial anxiety is leading to consumers cutting back
on shopping. That’s not good for a society driven by consumption.
This idea of debt forgiveness is not unusual. Its been done in
Africa. Why not here?
MONEY MARKET FUNDS TOO
Meanwhile in Europe, Money Market Funds are taking a hit:
Ml-Implode.com: ”Money market rates tumbled after the European
Central Bank injected an unprecedented $500 billion into the banking
system”
DON’T KNOW MUCH ABOUT HISTORY?
This is also a time to learn some of the lessons of the past. Even
business magazines are now running articles reminding us of
financial calamities in the past.
Here’s one from Forbes which reports that “crises have been a
feature of the financial landscape for hundreds of years. They often
appear with little warning, as the subprime mortgage crisis of 2007
and the Asian crisis of 1997-1998 illustrate.”
It’s hard to understand the machinations on Wall Street even as I
try to demystify the ups and downs because of a sense that we are on
the way down. The debt bomb is exploding and many are running for
cover. Even as the Federal Reserve Bank cut interest rates again
last week, most commentators assume it would do no good. In fact,
more questions are being raised as to why the Bank ignored the
warning signs. Sample headline in the NY Times: FED SHRUGGED AS
SUPRIME CRISIS SPREAD: As the mortgage crisis threatens to tip the
economy into a recession, many are asking: Where was Washington?” As
criticism mounted, the Fed rolled out its own new plan to close the
barn doors after the horses were gone: “The Federal Reserve unveiled
a proposal Tuesday that would give people taking out home mortgages
new protections against shady lending practices.”
Despite the Fed’s too little too late intervention, sure enough, the
market went down. So far the banks have not been able to stem the
money-letting and more have admitted giant losses on their subprime
loans. A new mortgage bail out plan only covers some homeowners who
are current in their payments (i.e. not in trouble) and leaves out
those who need help the most.
I have been trying to call attention to the severity of these
problems with my film
IN DEBT WE
TRUST, my new book
SQUEEZED
and through this weekly newsletter. Last week, I took to the streets
alongside Jesse Jackson and civil rights leaders. I called on the
press to investigate, regulators to regulate and prosecutors to
prosecute. We held a rally on Wall Street that many media outlets
like the AP’s TV company didn’t bother to cover.
WHAT IT LOOKED LIKE
Fortunately the new REAL NEWS was there and captured the spirit of
the event.
See their report: and a snatch of what I had to say.
Unfortunately, not too many on Wall
Street were roused to compassion or motivated to act. The New York
Observer spoke with people who work there:
Despite Jesse Jackson’s warning
of an impending “economic tsunami” from the subprime mortgage
crisis, the only people marching on Wall Street on Monday
afternoon were the business people whizzing past the few dozen
protestors chanting “Restructure Loans—Don’t Repossess Homes” on
the corner of Broad and Exchange streets.
Most business people strode past picket-wielding demonstrators,
nonplussed by the accusations of “predatory lending” and
“white-collar crime” being lobbed from the podium inside the
metal barricades one block south of the New York Stock Exchange.
As one speaker called on “Wall Street to help out the main
street," a suited passerby shook his head and muttered, “Yeah,
well, don’t buy something you can’t afford.”
So there you go again, blaming the
victims for the crimes. Some more informed websites like England’s A
World To Win were more sympathetic:
“In the United States, things are now
so bad that people have taken to the streets – Wall Street to be
exact – to protest against the way in which black communities and
ethnic minorities have been hit especially hard. Yesterday,
demonstrators paraded through the centre of US big business to
protest against the eviction of millions of homeowners, the first
ever march to target the financial markets. US civil rights leader,
Jesse Jackson, who has campaigned for economic empowerment since he
joined Martin Luther King as far back as 1965, led the march.
Like his mentor, Martin Luther King,
Jackson sees the issue of debt as a class question as much as an
ethnic issue. In Chicago, where Jackson’s Rainbow Push coalition is
based in a former synagogue, 30% of homes are in foreclosure. In
Detroit’s Wayne County, a quarter of homeowners are in default.”
The problem here is that people who don’t have subprime loans think
they will get off scott free and have nothing to worry about. Wrong.
If the house next door goes into foreclosure, your property values
go down. And soon, there goes the neighborhood and your ability to
sell your house.
READ THESE STATISTICS AND WEEP
We are all part of this system, and all affected by it. Did you know
that mortgage debt jumped from 63 per cent of
disposable incomes in 1995 to 98 per cent in 2005.
Working families are saving less and making less as income
inequality deepens. The money of the majority is being transferred
to a superrich minority, The New York Times reports:
The increase in incomes of the
top 1 percent of Americans from 2003 to 2005 exceeded the total
income of the poorest 20 percent of Americans, data in a new
report by the Congressional Budget Office shows.
The poorest fifth of households had total income of $383.4
billion in 2005, while just the increase in income for the top 1
percent came to $524.8 billion, a figure 37 percent higher.
The total income of the top 1.1 million households was $1.8
trillion, or 18.1 percent of the total income of all Americans,
up from 14.3 percent of all income in 2003. The total 2005
income of the three million individual Americans at the top was
roughly equal to that of the bottom 166 million Americans,
analysis of the report showed.
SO WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR US?
It already means we are getting relatively poorer and paying more
for what we need. As inflation goes up, wholesale prices went up by
the fastest rate in 34 years, according to figures released last
month. Energy is up. The core index is up 23%. Wholesale prices are
up leading to higher retail prices. Many families have to decide
whether to heat or eat as fuel and natural gas costs go up.
After We Lose Our Homes, Is Our Retirement Next?
by Tula Connell, Dec 7, 2007
Over the past months and even years, policymakers have
been puzzling about where the American consumer was
getting the cash to keep spending. Surely home equity
and credit cards had to be tapped by now. So where is
the money coming from?
Now we know.
A monthly survey of CEOs for the first time asked chief
financial officers in November if they've seen "an
increase in the number of employees taking loans or
making hardship withdrawals from their 401(k) accounts?"
A total of 18.5 percent said they had, with the most-
cited reason being the need to make mortgage payments.
Some economists are predicting the next economic crisis
will center on consumer credit card debt-and many of us
think that crisis already is well under way. But if
borrowing from our retirement future becomes a trend,
the long-term ramifications of the current economic mess
won't be felt for years or even decades.
Throughout these seven years of the Bush administration,
the middle class increasingly has been hard hit, with
more of us needing to borrow just to get by, especially
if we have to pay for health care or education for our
kids. A Federal Reserve report yesterday showed just how
tapped out we are when it comes to taking cash out of
our homes:
The amount of equity that U.S. homeowners hold in their
homes slipped in the third quarter to the lowest level
on record, just above 50 percent.
The National Post of Canada reports:
And that's just the tip of the
iceberg. If the worldwide credit crisis deepens, we could be
looking at a global recession, which would have dire
consequences for consumers.
"I would compare what's going on now with the onset of the
Depression period in the late 1920s and early 1930s," says
Steven Hochberg, chief market analyst with Atlanta-based Elliott
Wave International. "The potential is for it to be a lot worse
simply because of the amount of credit outstanding." The total
credit-market debt as a percentage of gross domestic product is
more than double what it was during the Great Depression, he
says.
"You know debt is forever. It has to be serviced or it has to be
paid off. In some cases it has become so large that in order to
service it, it becomes onerous, it starts taking away from other
areas of the economy just to service the debt," Mr. Hochberg
adds.
That doomsday scenario aside, the debt crisis may already be
dipping into your wallet.”
THIS A TURNING POING TIME
FINANCIAL TIMES: THIS IS A HISTORICAL MOMENT
This situation is not the normal
way the economy works through the magic of frequent
”adjustments” and self-correction. No, it’s much worse, as
Martin Wolf writes in the Financial Times. (It’s important to
read these outlets written for businessmen, not the rest of us,
because they don’t like to be lied to. He says we are living in
a “history moment, a turning point.”
These are historic moments for the world economy. I felt the
same during the emerging market financial crises of 1997 and
1998 and the bubble in technology stocks that burst in 2000.
This "credit crunch" may, I believe, be an equally important
turning point for financial markets and the world economy. Why
do I believe this? Let me count the ways.
First and most important, what is happening in credit markets
today is a huge blow to the credibility of the Anglo-Saxon model
of transactions-orientated financial capitalism. A mixture of
crony capitalism and gross incompetence has been on display in
the core financial markets of New York and London. From the
"ninja" (no- income, no-job, no-asset) subprime lending to the
placing (and favourable rating) of assets that turn out to be
almost impossible to understand, value or sell, these activities
have been riddled with conflicts of interest and incompetence.
In the subsequent era of "revulsion", core financial markets
have seized up …
My Colleague Sharon Keyser asks: Do You Feel Better Off Today than
You five years ago?
It is going to get worse before
it gets better: the latest report by Goldman Sachs makes it
crystal clear, the global economy hits a 'crunch'. As if this
weren't enough, the IMF spreads gloom on 2008 by confirming that
impact would be worse in 2008. The IMF and Sachs were seconded
by the US Treasury Secretary acknowledging that we must prepare
for a prolonged turmoil. Debt deflation is a nasty beast. The
majority of bad-debt losses will be uncollectible in whole or in
large part.
Forget about the Dow 14,000 and ask yourself frankly if you feel
today better off than last year, or two years ago. That
consumers must now resort to their credit cards to pay their
monthly bills while banks are tightening their standards is a
bad omen.
THE IMPLICATIONS OF THE COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE COLLAPSE
CALIFORNIA COURTHOUSE STEP AUCTIONS OFFER 1336 PROPERTIES IN
FORECLOSURE--17 ARE SOLD
IN FLORIDA: 31 INDICTED IN MORTGAGE FRAUD
The NY Times reports more sub CRIME news.
MIAMI — Federal prosecutors on Monday announced the indictment of 31
people in connection with a mortgage fraud scheme involving at least
28 properties in South Florida and fraudulent loans totaling more
than $14.2 million.
Officials said the scheme included participants at every stage of
the transactions, including bank employees, title agents, appraisers
and fake buyers, and involved property in Miami-Dade and Broward
Counties and in the city of Marco Island on the state’s southwest
coast.
TRUE CONFESSIONS
I am a former senior loan officer for a regional mortgage bank. It
made me sick to see how we took advantage of consumers for thousands
of extra dollars. Sometimes these were smart people who simply
didn’t know any better. So I developed this simple Mortgage Loan
Comparison Worksheet. If borrowers just used this easy tool when
shopping for a mortgage, predatory lending in this country could
virtually be eradicated:
Read it here (PDF)
Problem is, most borrowers only make a decision once every seven
years, so how would they even know what to look for? As a loan
officer my mission was not to educate, but to get a signature on the
bottom line, at any cost.
Ok that’s some advice from an expert—mine is give copies of
IN DEBT WE TRUST To
members of your family to encourage them to become more aware of
this crisis. My e-book
SQUEEZED
is online at . Please send us a donation to the Global Center’s
Financial Awareness project to support this work of raising
awareness about this issue.
Thanks for reading this newsletter. Please pass it on to friends and
urge them to get a free sub from Stopthesqueeze.org
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ALSO NEW: THE IN DEBT WE TRUST FAMILY
FINANCIAL SECURITY VIDEO FEATURING FINANCIAL ADVISOR GARY KORNEGAY.
YOU CAN ORDER IT HERE.
WE NEED YOU!
We can only continue this work of informing you about the crisis
with the news we need to know with your support. Tax Deductible
donations to the Financial Awareness Project at the Global Center
are urgently needed. The Global Center is at 575 8th Avenue #2200,
New York, N.Y. 10018
Comments to
Dissector@mediachannel.org
Danny Schechter
Editor
Mediachannel.org
Director IN DEBT WE TRUST
InDebtWeTrust.com
212 246-0202x3006 |
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suggest your own
Here’s something
special for StopTheSqueeze.org subscribers: a copy of the timely new
180-page e-book by Danny Schechter, the News Dissector …
Squeezed: America As The Bubble Bursts
Free with a donation of $25 or more to Globalvision
Here’s how Danny Schechter describes his latest work:
‘This instant internet E-Book, published by ColdType.net in
Canada in a first edition in the Adobe PDF format, was inspired by
the tradition of American pamphleteering exemplified by the work of
the American revolutionary Tom Paine (who, of course, has no
responsibility for this effort) and the Soviet-era samizdat
publishers forced to work underground.
‘In our culture, we do have many publishers of small and large
presses but as someone who has had eight books published that way, I
know how long it takes to go from pitch or proposal to book in hand.
And then the real battle begins for attention and distribution in an
environment dominated by big names and bigger budgets. I don’t want
to get into how many books reflecting years of work languish because
of poor marketing and promotion.
Often, issue-oriented books appear well after the fact, not when
they can best stimulate or contribute to an ongoing debate.
Publishing this way is more immediate, accessible and timely.
Squeezed primarily chronicles events over six months in 2007 and the
explosion/implosion of an economic crisis that had been building for
many years. Happily, it can be available in this same year just in
time for the Christmas shopping season which the prognosticators
already fear will be a disaster.
‘It is the work of a journalist who often finds himself ‘ahead of
the curve.’ My book Embedded: Weapons of Mass Deception on the media
war in Iraq was published by ColdType.net this way in the early
summer of 2003 in a stunning climate of patriotically correct
denial. I can only hope that this one has more impact if only
because of the way so many institutions we trusted are loosing that
trust so quickly. And also, lest I remind you, how this affects our
wallets and financial survival.
‘I am sure we will soon be deluged with barrels of more books on the
issues I treat, written by authors far more expert than I.
Journalism has been called the ‘first draft of history’ but this is
a history we can, hopefully, still influence if we wake up and have
the courage to proclaim a state of economic emergency to do what
must be done. For starters, we need to arm ourselves with
information (or harm ourselves) and then drive the money changers
from our temples.’
SEND A TAX-DEDUCTIBLE CONTRIBUTION TO THE FINANCIAL AWARENESS
PROJECT AT THE GLOBAL CENTER (575 8th Avenue #2200 NY NY 10018. We
will tell you where to download the book)
* * *
Expert Advice
Based upon my experience, here are
the Top 10 Mistakes Mortgage Borrowers Make:
- Not knowing which mortgage fees
the borrower can -- and cannot -- negotiate.
- Choosing and trusting the first
loan officer the borrower interviews.
- Using an interest-only or
"payment option" adjustable-rate loan primarily to qualify for a
more expensive house than you could normally afford.
- Thinking the interest rate is
always the main thing.
- Not comparing the final fees
listed on the closing documents to the up-front estimates to
avoid the lender "packing the loan" with added-on fees without
the borrower's knowledge.
- Not knowing if the mortgage has
a pre-payment penalty - until it's too late.
- Thinking that renting is always
just throwing money away.
- The borrower does not know if he
or she is paying a back-end yield spread or Service Release
Premium.
- Paying for mortgage life
insurance, credit insurance or other expensive lender add-ons to
increase the amount of kickbacks the lender can receive from
various vendors.
- Paying hundreds of dollars to
have a company set up a biweekly mortgage payment plan,
something the borrower can generally do for herself or himself
-- for free.
From "Kickback: Confessions of a
Mortgage Salesman," one of the best-selling books on mortgages on
Amazon.com.
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